2024-12-13 05:39:23
Compared with small-cap stocks, Ning combination and Mao index seem to be "abandoned" by the market. Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (300750.SZ) went out of the independent market, rising by 68.21% during the year, while Enjie (002812.SZ) fell by over 30%. The Mao index rose by 10.85% during the year, the share price of Oriental Fortune (300059.SZ) doubled, and Zhifei Bio (300122.SZ) fell by nearly 50%.According to the statistics of the First Financial Reporter, the 100 stocks with the smallest closing market value on September 23 have almost doubled up to now. In the same period, the average increase of 66 stocks in the market value component was 19.2%, and the average increase of the fund's heavy stocks was 27.5%, which was far worse than that of small-cap stocks.Small-cap style clearly outperforms.
"The market of technology stocks is supported by policies, and the policies frequently mention the self-reliance and self-improvement of science and technology, such as artificial intelligence industry, self-controllable, new energy technology, etc. This kind of concept plate is mainly the participation of hot money and new retail investors, focusing on themes and tracks. Long-term expectations are hard to be falsified in the short term. Industries such as artificial intelligence are indeed in a stage of rapid development. Once hot money has a money-making effect, retail investors are easy to chase after it and push the stock price up. " Zhao Xi told reporters.According to the research report released by SDIC Securities on December 8, if we want to treat this wave of "new year's market" with "innovation", it is necessary for the US dollar index to clearly turn from strong to weak and the fiscal expenditure to enter a clear expansion cycle. The pricing of risk preference turning to fundamentals may have to be further confirmed in the second quarter of next year (strong dollar turning to weak dollar+stimulus policy effectively reversing domestic demand). Looking back at history, after M1 rebounded from the bottom for two consecutive months, the market sector represented by consumption and pro-cyclical sectors will start pricing around fundamentals, which also means that if the growth rate of M1 continues to rebound in November, this extreme differentiation pricing model of large and small markets is expected to be gradually reversed.From 2024 to the end of the year, with the gradual development of the New Year's market, how will the market style be interpreted? Will there be a switch between large and small disks?
SDIC Securities Research Report pointed out that from the perspective of capital, this phenomenon (micro-disk stocks hit a record high) is naturally easy to explain: the core of the incremental fund group is retail hot money, and the pricing power is not in the hands of institutions.On December 9th, Wonder Microdisk Index continued to hit a record high, closing at 359,303.64 points, with a cumulative increase of 25.11% during the year. The fund's heavy position index rose by 7.63% during the year, and the underperformed microdisk index was nearly 18 percentage points.The "seesaw" performance of blue-chip stocks and small-cap stocks is vividly interpreted in this round of market. Large-cap blue chips and core assets with stable operation and better fundamentals have obviously underperformed the small-cap sector of emerging technology sectors.